Description

This analysis provides a forecast of OP prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-05-18 0.387486 0.505052 0.633133 0.781046 0.945363 1.120745 1.320613
2025-05-25 0.191877 0.334425 0.510318 0.732636 0.997498 1.296006 1.651653
2025-06-01 0.095731 0.231870 0.421930 0.680696 1.004997 1.383835 1.847646
2025-06-08 0.045716 0.169983 0.368977 0.659242 1.038716 1.494528 2.063925
2025-06-15 0.023089 0.139066 0.350076 0.674943 1.112718 1.648611 2.326940
2025-06-22 0.007242 0.105354 0.318210 0.666830 1.151914 1.757200 2.533366
2025-06-29 0.000412 0.074945 0.282804 0.647690 1.172400 1.839544 2.705671
2025-07-06 NaN 0.066679 0.285540 0.684063 1.266504 2.013697 2.989351
2025-07-13 NaN 0.061849 0.293729 0.728171 1.370847 2.200728 3.288884
2025-07-20 NaN 0.056214 0.298581 0.766254 1.466490 2.376518 3.574608
2025-07-27 NaN 0.058463 0.321574 0.833828 1.603557 2.605778 3.926800
2025-08-03 NaN 0.054994 0.330054 0.877317 1.706681 2.791353 4.225023
2025-08-10 NaN 0.043282 0.316849 0.887071 1.766495 2.927006 4.469455
2025-08-17 NaN 0.023072 0.269732 0.835286 1.736736 2.945893 4.569015
2025-08-24 NaN 0.009120 0.224465 0.779565 1.696612 2.947716 4.644113
2025-08-31 NaN 0.003302 0.199198 0.756515 1.702180 3.008099 4.791362
2025-09-07 NaN 0.001665 0.194857 0.773388 1.767719 3.148665 5.040530
2025-09-14 NaN 0.000176 0.178848 0.764671 1.793013 3.234314 5.219145
2025-09-21 NaN NaN 0.158585 0.744092 1.798389 3.291983 5.361198
2025-09-28 NaN NaN 0.165505 0.783182 1.897943 3.478681 5.669771
2025-10-05 NaN NaN 0.176031 0.830495 2.010698 3.683679 6.002199
2025-10-12 NaN NaN 0.183641 0.871272 2.113150 3.874648 6.316682
2025-10-19 NaN NaN 0.205181 0.943474 2.265661 4.134535 6.720401